Stochastic production capacity: A bane or a boon for quick response supply chains?

The quick response (QR) system that can cope with demand volatility by shortening lead time has been well studied in the literature. Much of the existing literature assumes implicitly or explicitly that the manufacturers under QR can always meet the demand because the production capacity is always sufficient. However, when the order comes with a short lead time under QR, availability of the manufacturer's production capacity is not guaranteed. This motivates us to explore QR in supply chains with stochastic production capacity. Specifically, we study QR in a two-echelon supply chain with Bayesian demand information updating. We consider the situation where the manufacturer's production capacity under QR is uncertain. We first explore how stochastic production capacity affects supply chain decisions and QR implementation. We then incorporate the manufacturer's ability to expand capacity into the model. We explore how the manufacturer determines the optimal capacity expansion decision, and the value of such an ability to the supply chain and its agents. Finally, we extend the model to the two-stage two-ordering case and derive the optimal ordering policy by dynamic programming. We compare the single-ordering and two-ordering cases to generate additional managerial insights about how ordering flexibility affects QR when production capacity is stochastic. We also explore the transparent supply chain and find that our main results still hold.     

随机脉宽调制的Simulink仿真研究

应用Matlab仿真平台,开发了随机脉宽调制的Simulink仿真文件,运用此仿真文件,研究了逆变器的谐波能量分布随随机增益变化的规律,仿真结果有助于实际装置的研制。     

变异系数在可靠性中的应用

对使用变异系数描述随机变量的离散程度进行分析,推导了可靠性工程中常用的4种概率分布的变异系数与分布参数之间的关系.以机械产品整机及其零部件不同失效模式的寿命变异系数的取值范围为实例,说明了变异系数在可靠性工程中的应用.     

A fluid queueing model for link travel time moments

We analyze the moments of the random time required for a vehicle to traverse a transportation network link of arbitrary length when its speed is governed by a random environment. The problem is motivated by stochastic transportation network applications in which the estimation of travel time moments is of great importance. We analyze this random time in a transient and asymptotic sense by employing results from the field of fluid queues. The results are demonstrated on two example problems. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

目标航路捷径波动与雷达误差关系研究

在靶场对武器装备的试验鉴定中,必须进行试验设计,目标和目标航路参数是试验参数设计中重点考虑的内容之一,目标航路捷径的波动则直接影响试验参数设计和考核结论。通过分析武器装备中雷达误差来源,找出目标航路捷径波动与雷达误差之间的函数关系,并计算推导出航路捷径允许波动范围的数学模型;以靶场试验实例给出了航路捷径波动确定的基本原则,为靶场试验设计提供有价值的参考方法。     

Rectangles algorithm for generating normal variates

We propose an algorithm for generating normal random variates that is based on the acceptance–rejection method and uses a piecewise majorizing function. The piecewise function has 2048 equal‐area pieces, 2046 of which are constant, and the two extreme pieces are curves that majorize the tails. The proposed algorithm has not only good performance from correlation induction perspective, but also works well from a speed perspective. It is faster than the inversion method by Odeh and Evans and most other methods. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于随机脉宽调制技术的感应电机矢量控制系统研究

随机脉宽调制技术可以使逆变器输出电压的谐波成分均匀地分布在一个较宽的频率范围内,达到抑制噪声和机械振动的目的.把随机脉宽调制技术引入感应电机矢量控制系统中,保证了调速系统的高性能,同时也降低了电机的有色噪声和机械振动.     

基于探雷信息的火箭深弹炸雷效能研究

针对火箭深弹传统炸雷方式中存在的盲目性、危险性及耗弹量大等问题,提出了火箭深弹与探雷声纳协同定点炸除水雷的方法,建立了基于随机模拟的火箭深弹炸雷效能评估模型。实例解算结果表明,火箭深弹对水雷毁伤概率随着射距的增加而增大;在同一射距下,毁伤概率随射向与探测方向夹角的增加而增大,但在最优(大)夹角附近毁伤概率变化不大。通过该模型能有效解算出火箭深弹对水雷的毁伤效果,进而得到最优射击诸元和最大毁伤概率,对火箭深弹炸雷技术实施提供了理论基础。     

An EOQ model with multiple suppliers and random capacity

We consider an EOQ model with multiple suppliers that have random capacities, which leads to uncertain yield in orders. A given order is fully received from a supplier if the order quantity is less than the supplier's capacity; otherwise, the quantity received is equal to the available capacity. The optimal order quantities for the suppliers can be obtained as the unique solution of an implicit set of equations in which the expected unsatisfied order is the same for each supplier. Further characterizations and properties are obtained for the uniform and exponential capacity cases with discussions on the issues related to diversification among suppliers. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006